Tdut 2012 --New Date 12-15 Oct 2012--

Sorry to hear of your loss Craig, we will have another gathering soon enough.

Morning all, well I'll be the one to ask. Should this go ahead, it aint looking good. ??????
cheers Graeme

I think we should be right once todays rain has dropped... the system is moving fast and it doesn't appear to be feeding like it was last night/yesterday. Looking at the radar now, and it looks like Trotski should be able to come up for a breath soon... most of the cloud mass is heading out to sea.

In summary - rain / showers for the next 4 days

Floods at Cooma and heading south

That my friends is where we will be riding.

Still undecided BUT if I can't go south from Sydney I will go north. Looking at Tamworth, New England area for a couple of days.

I have planned a ride this weekend and I am going to have one !!!!!

I think Walcha for the Friday night and then up and down the coast for the next couple of days.

If any one is interested in joining us?

WOW... As I was writing the above I had an unsolicited phone call.......

from the lodge /Motel people in Berridale. She recommended that we cancel as the roads themselves are "abominable" (her words) and that Cooma is likely to be cut off with floods soon. She is leaving for Sydney for other reasons but as we were riding down she wanted us to cancel. Gravel - water and branches on the main roads - I shudder to think what is on the run through to Khancoban
Just a quick excerpt from the Weather people:

Friday 2 March
SummaryMin 11Max 16Morning rain then showers.
Snowy Mountains area
Cloudy. Areas of rain, easing to isolated showers by early evening. Winds east to southeasterly averaging 10 to 20 km/h.
Saturday 3 March
SummaryMin 10Max 19Rain periods.
Snowy Mountains area
Cloudy. Rain. Winds northeasterly averaging 20 to 30 km/h, reaching 45 km/h at times.
Sunday 4 March
SummaryMin 13Max 24A few showers.
Snowy Mountains area
Cloudy. Scattered showers. Winds northwesterly averaging 15 to 25 km/h, reaching 45 km/h at times, tending westerly up to 25 km/h by early evening.
Monday 5 March

Flood Warning Number: 2

Up to 49 millimetres of rain has fallen during the past 24 hours to 6 am today.

The river gauge at Cooma Back creek is not reporting correctly and at this stage the river height is still below its minor flood level.

Further rain is forecast for the next 48 hours and a Flood Watch for major flooding is current. Further flood warnings will be issued when the rainfall rates increase to cause flooding.

The Murray River at Biggara is expected to exceed the Minor Flood Level (2.0 metres) during Thursday afternoon.

Snowy Hydro advise that releases from Khancoban Pondage are expected to exceed the Minor Flood Flow (113m3/sec) during Thursday morning.

The Murray River at Bringenbrong is expected to exceed the Minor Flood Level (3.0 metres) during Thursday evening.

I've had 74mm in the last 24hrs and as I was going into Canberra this morning my road was starting to flood, Gooma has had evac warnings and all low level crossings are under water, I won't know till later this arvo if I can even get my bike out to the Hwy.

The Forecast is now showing 90% chance of rain till Sunday, though Azza is right it looks on the radar that the front is moving fast to the east, it doesn't look good.

I have spoken to Azza, who was talking to Graham as well, and wehave come to the conclusion that it would be safest for every one to cancel the weekend and reschedule, the Accomodation will hold the deposit (and also suggest rescheduling due to the conditions).

So sadly, we think it's best to please stay home and stay safe and we'll get back to you soon with a new date

I just spoke to Big Dave who said he won't be going because of the weather. He was going down to Berridale on Sunday.

The weather forecast for the whole area seems to indicate heavy rain on Friday and Saturday then easing gradually for Sunday and Monday. There is plenty of localised flooding which normally doesn't last long once the rain eases.

I've already withdrawn because of other reasons but I'd be happy if the 'event' was postponed .....

Craig

PS if the get-to-gether is postponed and there is a problem getting a full refund (or any refund) for the accommodation, I'd be happy to chip in.

Edited by OzMOTO, 29 February 2012 - 11:45 pm.

Look like we have all been thinking the same thing re postponing ....

A smart and safe move ....

Craig

Bummer.... we were all dressed up and ready to go. Maybe southwest now, or back to work, last minute discussions are being made.

Under the circumstances I am sure that cancelling was the best decision. We are almost floating here in north east Vic. This would have been my first T D M gathering so I am particularly dissapointed. Hope we can reschedule it......Mitch.

I'm hearing reports of lots of gravel washed on to the Alpine way on corners and gullys (from some Snowy Hydro blokes who drive it every day) so I think it would have been more than a bit dangerous, particularly if the rain continues as forecast, i'll take a look at the long range forecast and propose a new date some time over the weekend.

I am really disappointed as this too was my first TDM event.

A mate & I have decided to head to the pub in Walcha north of Sydney tomorrow instead and will try to get a weekend in there. It may still rain a bit but no floods I hope.

See you all at the next event?

Thank you for organising this in the first place - a great idea.

Geoff

yep, I can repeat the sentiments already posted.
Couldn't get there last time due to heavy work load so was really looking forward to this weekend. Even scored the 4 day weekend to make it all work.
I wasn't real pleased when I saw the long range forecast, even less happy when the radar was showing such heavy falls. Everywhere!
Other circumstances have now cut into Friday and Saturday so getting out of here for 4 days is now impossible.
Sunday and Monday are still looking good for a few km's.
Disappointed it's not happening but as it turned out for me, it's sort of the best thing.

You wait. The next one will be absobloodylutleyperfect.

it will happen

Sorry to hear this chaps.

Thought it was supposed to be summer down there

Another argument for becoming a republic

ooops sorry guys

Edited by masterbrewer, 01 March 2012 - 08:52 am.

might as well be in bloody England!
Bit over 90mm here in last 24 on top of 45 in previous few days.
Sally, coming home from Dinner Plain today describes Cobungra Station as like one big river and gullies etc that never have a skerrick of water being chock a block. Its one of those times when the ground just oozes water everywhere. At home the dams are overflowing strongly for the first time since 1998, the creek is very loud. The best bit is that its been such a "kind" summer the grass is still green and so the runoff is causing minimal harm.
And its come from the north which is unheard of.
I just know you all wanted to know all that,
cheers Graeme

Can you send some of that rain over to the South East of England pleeeeeease ? They're getting a bit thirsty.

Well after 2 very dry years they are already talking hosepipe bans here in the UK no wonder if you Ozzies keep nicking all our water.

Dont worry, our next drought aint far away----
cheers Graeme

it can start tomorrow as far as I'm concerned , I now have to rebuild my driveway for the second time in 12 months.

This weather is positively English, my ancestors didn't steal stuff from rich gits to get sent to a place where the weather is the same, it's just not right.
MB is right, Republic NOW , because it's the Queen's fault !